The ANC alliance has split into two, says political analyst Aubrey Matshiqi.
Since 9 December 2015, President Jacob Zuma has suffered some erosion of power and influence in the ANC and much of that ground has been ceded to the Finance Minister and the Treasury, explains Matshiqi.
He sums up the two opposing forces with the ANC:
There are those who support the finance minister and have taken the view that if there's a cabinet reshuffle, it will be about looting the state.
Then there are those who support Zuma and have accused National Treasury in private conversations of refusing to allocate funds to radical economic transformation.
The cabinet reshuffle, if it does happen, will be about making sure that Zuma is in control of both the party, national treasury and the security establishment.— Aubrey Matshiqi, political analyst
When it comes to the deployment of Brian Molefe, it will be about the control of minerals and energy sector, he says.
Take a listen to the full interview with Aubrey Matshiqi, political analyst, with a brief clip by ANC Chief Whip in Gauteng preceding that: