Specialised local government data and intelligence organisation, Municipal IQ, established that come 2019 elections the ANC would no longer hold the majority in South Africa.
Karen Heese, economist at Municipal IQ, says the model used for the recent report doesn't include the events of the past weeks such as the recent Cabinet reshuffle.
The model used looked at developments since the establishment of the EFF pegging the party as a stronger opposition in 2014, says Heese.
At the same rate of change we saw since 2014 - 2016, the ANC could fall under 50% support nationally.— Karen Heese, economist at Municipal IQ
What we have seen is that the EFF and opposition parties are willing to form a coalition when the ANC falls below 50%.— Karen Heese, economist at Municipal IQ
Read the full article by Municipal IQ here
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This article first appeared on CapeTalk : ANC stands to lose majority in 2019 - research