Kenyatta to win Kenyan election by small margin, predicts political economist

Former President Thabo Mbeki is in Kenya as an observer, ahead of the country's general elections.

Kenyans are due to go to the polls on Tuesday but the killing of a top electoral official has sparked fears of violence.

Veteran opposition leader Raila Odinga is running against incumbent President Uhuru Kenyatta, who is battling to secure a second five-year term.

Odinga, of the umbrella opposition party National Super Alliance, will challenge incumbent Kenyatta of the Jubilee Party in next week's 8 August polls.

Political economist Ronak Gopaldas predicts that Kenyatta will likely take narrow win for his party.

Gopaldas argues that move to the devolved system of governance in Kenya has altered political geography and brought power to the people.

Kenyans will choose a new president, lawmakers and local representatives, and he believes that this system has diluted risk of national violence, as in the 2007 polls.

Elections in Kenya are always high-stakes affairs, very competitive and tense.

Ronak Gopaldas, Head of Country Risk at Rand Merchant Bank

Not only are Kenyans voting for for their President this time, they're voting for local governors, senators, female county representatives an Parliamentarians.

Ronak Gopaldas, Head of Country Risk at Rand Merchant Bank

Either way, Gopaldas argues that the stage is set for legal contestation through the courts, following the election results.

Take a listen his analysis and predictions:

702 welcomes all comments that are constructive, contribute to discussions in a meaningful manner and take stories forward.

However, we will NOT condone the following:

  • Racism (including offensive comments based on ethnicity and nationality)
  • Sexism
  • Homophobia
  • Religious intolerance
  • Cyber bullying
  • Hate speech
  • Derogatory language
  • Comments inciting violence.

We ask that your comments remain relevant to the articles they appear on and do not include general banter or conversation as this dilutes the effectiveness of the comments section.

We strive to make the 702 community a safe and welcoming space for all.

702 reserves the right to: 1) remove any comments that do not follow the above guidelines; and, 2) ban users who repeatedly infringe the rules.

Should you find any comments upsetting or offensive you can also flag them and we will assess it against our guidelines.

702 is constantly reviewing its comments policy in order to create an environment conducive to constructive conversations.

Read More
AfriForum says it prosecuting Duduzane Zuma to ensure equality before the law

AfriForum says it prosecuting Duduzane Zuma to ensure equality before the law

Although an inquest found Zuma’s negligent conduct led to the crash, the National Prosecuting Authority decided to not prosecute.

Adriaan Basson: This is a President desperate to show he is still in control

Adriaan Basson: This is a President desperate to show he is still in control

Tuesday proved to be an eventful day in South Africa with a cabinet reshuffle and SABC board appointment by President Zuma.

'SACP will not leave Cabinet because of one man'

'SACP will not leave Cabinet because of one man'

SACP's Alex Mashilo says members of the SACP cannot walk out of Zuma's Cabinet, as it would be a disservice to the country.

Somalian government pins blast on Al-Shabaab - Simon Allison

Somalian government pins blast on Al-Shabaab - Simon Allison

The numbers killed in twin bombings in the Somali capital Mogadishu over the weekend has risen to more than 300.

Sadag call centre sees slight volume increase following Wits suicide

Sadag call centre sees slight volume increase following Wits suicide

The depression group ops director Cassey Chambers says the stigma that reaching out for help is a sign of weakness must change.

Sassa says its cards will continue working past expiry date

Sassa says its cards will continue working past expiry date

Paseka Letsatsi from Sassa urges beneficiaries not to panic as their cards will continue working post 31 December 2017.

Popular articles
Why Sisulu and Dlamini-Zuma aren't suitable Presidential candidates: analyst

Why Sisulu and Dlamini-Zuma aren't suitable Presidential candidates: analyst

ANC branch in the Eastern Cape, Z.R Mahabana, has launched a campaign backing Lindiwe Sisuslu as an ANC presidential candidate.

It's not the end of the road... Top tips to improve your matric

It's not the end of the road... Top tips to improve your matric

"Recognise that it’s not the end, it’s the beginning." Expert advise for school-leavers who want to improve their results.

Gospel singer Sipho Makhabane explains how Sfiso Ncwane died

Gospel singer Sipho Makhabane explains how Sfiso Ncwane died

Makhabane says Ncwane was feeling weak yesterday and his wife phoned paramedics to check on him.

14 job titles that callers can't take seriously

14 job titles that callers can't take seriously

People do some very interesting things for a living, but some job titles are given more credit than others.

Pamela Nomvete on her downfalls as actress, and 'climbing back'

Pamela Nomvete on her downfalls as actress, and 'climbing back'

This week Xolani Gwala's speaks to former Generations actor Pamela Nomvete for #WhatInTheWorldHappenedTo feature.

Who is Advocate Tembeka Ngcukaitobi?

Who is Advocate Tembeka Ngcukaitobi?

The EFF lawyer stole the show during the state capture report court battle.

‘I started my thriving business with R5000 (and made a profit in the 1st month)’

‘I started my thriving business with R5000 (and made a profit in the 1st month)’

After 3 years there are 3 Nic Harry stores (incl online) that sell 100 000 pairs of socks in over 20 countries around the world.

3 easy questions could bag you R2000!

3 easy questions could bag you R2000!

WIN R2000! But only if you can prove you're a whiz of the MTN Biz Quiz by answering the following three questions...

Blesserfinder: Matching you with a sugar daddy near you

Blesserfinder: Matching you with a sugar daddy near you

Is social trend Blesserfinder, where girls are allegedly matching up with rich 'benefactors' in exchange for sex, a real thing?