A Matter of Fact: Debunking AfriForum's farm murder stats

Africa Check's senior researcher, Kate Wilkinson returned to the Azania Mosaka Show on Monday to debunk some popular statements that may have been deemed factual.

Every month, listeners are granted the opportunity to submit claims often used in the public discourse and may want further clarity on.

Here are three reports submitted by listeners that need verification:

1) Can Kate refute or confirm Afriforum's claim that there are four times as many **murders on farmers than any other community, even the most crime-ridden African t**ownships or informal settlements?

AfriForum put out a statistic claiming the murder rate for farmers was four and a half times higher than South Africa citizens at a higher level.

Kate Wilkinson, senior researcher, Africa Check

Wilkinson notes that there is a significant difference between the number of murder and a murder rate which can be derived through a special calculation.

We know that in the last year we had statistics for farm murders in 2016/2017 there were 74 people who killed and recorded as farm murders by the police. Wilkinson adds that there are stations around the country that have recorded far more higher murders than 74 in a year.

If we look at the top station, in Nyanga, Western Cape they recorded 281 murders.

Kate Wilkinson, senior researcher, Africa Check

The number of farm murders may be higher. We'd need to know the size of the potential victim pool. The tricky thing with calculating a farm murder rate is we don't know how many people are living on farms in South Africa nor do we know how many farmer live in the country. We can't say for sure the AfriForum stats are accurate.

Kate Wilkinson, senior researcher, Africa Check

2) Can Africa Check refute or confirm Mayor Mashaba's claim that approx 80% of Johannesburg inner city Residents are foreign migrant Africans?

This a claim made by the mayor a number of times says Wilkinson. She says they got in touch with the mayor's office who said Mashaba's statements need to be based on his experience of hijacked buildings in the city of Johannesburg.

A survey done by the Gauteng City Region Observatory found that for people living in inner city wards, 26.2% had migrated from another country to Gauteng.

Kate Wilkinson, senior researcher, Africa Check

South African's who have moved to Gauteng, was found to be at 25.4%. This doesn't support the mayors statements.

Kate Wilkinson, senior researcher, Africa Check

A report done by the City's Social Development Department based on five raids of buildings in Doornfontein in 2017 found that of the 183 residents profile only 30.6% of them were foreign nationals explains Wilkinson.

3) Is it a fact that South Africans are the 2nd most obese nation in the world after the US? Question from Oscar Olifant

We are not the second most obese country in the world.

Kate Wilkinson, senior researcher, Africa Check

Listen to the clip below for more facts checked:


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