Prof says AfriForum farm murder stats misleading and genocide claims are false

Farm murders has been a highly contested issue and AfriForum have released statistics to support the fact that there is a war against white people.

But do these numbers tally?

The question being raised is whether there is indeed a war against white people in the way that AfriForum supporters have framed it?

Law professor at North West University, Elmien du Plessis, has argued that the lobby group's own numbers don't support claims of genocide against whites farmers in SA.

I am not saying the statistics are not true, but the expectation of it is problematic.

Elmien du Plessis, associate law professor North West University

She explains that she deplores any kind of murder, acknowledges the grief people suffer when losing family and friends and they should be condemned.

But in her tweets she questioned whether there is really a concerted attack on white people.

READ: 'More black farm workers are killed than white farm workers' - Johan Burger

And I used AfriForum's own statistics for a very specific purpose... and I hope it highlights the problem and opens the debate so we can speak about these things.

Elmien du Plessis, associate law professor North West University

She explains that to calculate a statistic, a nominator, in this case the number of murders - and a denominator, the pool of people used to calculate per 100 000, are used - but how you determine the denominator will influence the statistical outcome greatly.

AfriForum use the figure of 74 farm murders which is then divided by a denominator. But Du Plessis says the choice of denominator they use is problematic.

If you use 32 000 it is very high, but that is just commercial farmers and it does not include their families, it does not include the small holdings, it does not include farm workers. If you include all the people in the rural area you get to a number of 800 000 and that will change the rate.

Elmien du Plessis, associate law professor North West University

One rate that AfriForum uses is 158 murders per 100 000 people. Our national average is 34.

So they may say you are five times more likely to get murdered if you are a farmer. And it is not clear how they got to that number.

Elmien du Plessis, associate law professor North West University

Du Plessis has been threatened for her views. She says while the AfriForum leadership might not want to harm her, the statements it has made could illicit such a response from its following. After her critical response to to the statistics, she says she received a number of threatening emails and phone calls.

Take a listen to how Du Plessis critiques AfriForum's calculations of farm murders in SA:


Recommended

by NEWSROOM AI
Read More
[WATCH] BMW's tribute to Mercedes-Benz maker CEO Dieter Zetsche goes viral

[WATCH] BMW's tribute to Mercedes-Benz maker CEO Dieter Zetsche goes viral

Khabazela shares tweets and Facebook posts that have gone viral.

'Criminal syndicates dispose of waste in developing countries'

'Criminal syndicates dispose of waste in developing countries'

Department of Environmental Affairs deputy director-general Ishaam Abader says these illegal imports are becoming a huge problem.

'It's all systems go for Ramaphosa's inauguration tomorrow'

'It's all systems go for Ramaphosa's inauguration tomorrow'

Inter-ministerial committee member Dr Siyabonga Cwele says citizens wishing to attend the event, need to get accreditation.

'Dipuo Letsatsi-Duba was never an employee of the state security agency'

'Dipuo Letsatsi-Duba was never an employee of the state security agency'

Minister's legal advisor Advocate Mahlodi Muofhe addresses allegations that she was a paid spy.

[WATCH] Twin toddlers climbing a fridge has Twitter in stitches!

[WATCH] Twin toddlers climbing a fridge has Twitter in stitches!

Khabazela shares tweets and Facebook posts that have gone viral.

'Hilton College refused to make amends to land claim families'

'Hilton College refused to make amends to land claim families'

Labour tenants land claims submitted during the window that closed in 2001 have not been processed says activist Khaya Sithole.

Popular articles
[WATCH] BMW's tribute to Mercedes-Benz maker CEO Dieter Zetsche goes viral

[WATCH] BMW's tribute to Mercedes-Benz maker CEO Dieter Zetsche goes viral

Khabazela shares tweets and Facebook posts that have gone viral.

Enjoy life and save for the future by splitting income using the '50/15/5 rule'

Enjoy life and save for the future by splitting income using the '50/15/5 rule'

You only live once — personal finance guru Warren Ingram on divvying up your income if you're not the budgeting type.

You can now apply to generate electricity and feed it into the grid

You can now apply to generate electricity and feed it into the grid

The change comes after Energy Minister Jeff Radebe told the National Energy Regulator of SA to license applications to do so.

[WATCH] Twin toddlers climbing a fridge has Twitter in stitches!

[WATCH] Twin toddlers climbing a fridge has Twitter in stitches!

Khabazela shares tweets and Facebook posts that have gone viral.

'Thuli Madonsela’s name has been mentioned for Deputy President'

'Thuli Madonsela’s name has been mentioned for Deputy President'

Lumkile Mondi (Wits), Ferial Haffajee and Busisiwe Mavuso (Business Leadership SA) on the President's upcoming "slim" Cabinet.

[Exposed] Car dealerships, banks in cahoots; you’re not always getting best deal

[Exposed] Car dealerships, banks in cahoots; you’re not always getting best deal

Consumer journalist Wendy Knowler uncovered evidence of banks sending dealer principles on holidays abroad for hitting targets.

'The criminals in the ANC will gang up on Cyril Ramaphosa'

'The criminals in the ANC will gang up on Cyril Ramaphosa'

Political analyst Prince Mashele and Richard Calland dissect the political landscape as 6th democratic Parliament in SA begins.

Dis-Chem drives ad expert to 'Steve Hofmeyr-like assaults' on his decoder

Dis-Chem drives ad expert to 'Steve Hofmeyr-like assaults' on his decoder

"It’s been said you can’t bore people into buying your brand. Someone should’ve pointed this out to Dis-Chem," says Andy Rice.

'It is very clear that Ramaphosa is under attack from Magashule and others'

'It is very clear that Ramaphosa is under attack from Magashule and others'

News24 editor-in-chief Adriaan Basson says there is a definite fight back from the ANC secretary-general against the president.