Prof says AfriForum farm murder stats misleading and genocide claims are false

Farm murders has been a highly contested issue and AfriForum have released statistics to support the fact that there is a war against white people.

But do these numbers tally?

The question being raised is whether there is indeed a war against white people in the way that AfriForum supporters have framed it?

Law professor at North West University, Elmien du Plessis, has argued that the lobby group's own numbers don't support claims of genocide against whites farmers in SA.

I am not saying the statistics are not true, but the expectation of it is problematic.

Elmien du Plessis, associate law professor North West University

She explains that she deplores any kind of murder, acknowledges the grief people suffer when losing family and friends and they should be condemned.

But in her tweets she questioned whether there is really a concerted attack on white people.

READ: 'More black farm workers are killed than white farm workers' - Johan Burger

And I used AfriForum's own statistics for a very specific purpose... and I hope it highlights the problem and opens the debate so we can speak about these things.

Elmien du Plessis, associate law professor North West University

She explains that to calculate a statistic, a nominator, in this case the number of murders - and a denominator, the pool of people used to calculate per 100 000, are used - but how you determine the denominator will influence the statistical outcome greatly.

AfriForum use the figure of 74 farm murders which is then divided by a denominator. But Du Plessis says the choice of denominator they use is problematic.

If you use 32 000 it is very high, but that is just commercial farmers and it does not include their families, it does not include the small holdings, it does not include farm workers. If you include all the people in the rural area you get to a number of 800 000 and that will change the rate.

Elmien du Plessis, associate law professor North West University

One rate that AfriForum uses is 158 murders per 100 000 people. Our national average is 34.

So they may say you are five times more likely to get murdered if you are a farmer. And it is not clear how they got to that number.

Elmien du Plessis, associate law professor North West University

Du Plessis has been threatened for her views. She says while the AfriForum leadership might not want to harm her, the statements it has made could illicit such a response from its following. After her critical response to to the statistics, she says she received a number of threatening emails and phone calls.

Take a listen to how Du Plessis critiques AfriForum's calculations of farm murders in SA:


Recommended

by NEWSROOM AI
Read More
#StateCaptureInquiry shocking revelations by Standard Bank

#StateCaptureInquiry shocking revelations by Standard Bank

Lawson Naidoo says Stinton's testimony certainly implicated the ANC directly.

[WATCH] Dad stops baby from crying, Emmy acceptance speech turns into proposal

[WATCH] Dad stops baby from crying, Emmy acceptance speech turns into proposal

Khabazela shares some of the most popular tweets, posts, and videos on 'What's gone viral'.

Motshekga calls urgent meeting with police over school violence

Motshekga calls urgent meeting with police over school violence

Minister of Basic Education Angie Motshekga says she'll meet with the Saps and Social Development Dept to discuss the violence.

Should SA review the parameters of affirmative action?

Should SA review the parameters of affirmative action?

Ralph Mathekga says the experience on the ground shows that there is a problem when it comes to framing affirmative action.

Tips on how to stop unauthorised debit orders

Tips on how to stop unauthorised debit orders

CEO of Payments Association of SA, Walter Volker says these fraudsters get a list of debit orders from unscrupulous employees.

[WATCH] Let's sing together, Baba Vark, doo doo doo, SA's version of Baby Shark

[WATCH] Let's sing together, Baba Vark, doo doo doo, SA's version of Baby Shark

Khabazela shares some of the most popular tweets, posts, and videos on 'What's gone viral'.

Popular articles
Court dismisses former Transnet director's bid to challenge his dismissal

Court dismisses former Transnet director's bid to challenge his dismissal

Seth Radebe was removed from his position in May this year.

Comair reports record earnings, 72nd profitable year in a row – a world record!

Comair reports record earnings, 72nd profitable year in a row – a world record!

Recession, soaring fuel costs and surplus capacity - yet profits keep coming! Bruce Whitfield interviews Comair CEO Erik Venter.

'Let’s tax this thing and make money out of it!'

'Let’s tax this thing and make money out of it!'

The Money Show's Bruce Whitfield interviews Jeremy Berke (Business Insider) and Unathi Henama (Tshwane University of Technology).

Basic Education to introduce Kiswahili and coding to SA's curriculum

Basic Education to introduce Kiswahili and coding to SA's curriculum

Basic Education spokesperson Elijah Mhlanga spoke to Joanne Joseph on the Afternoon Drive to elaborate.

Kaptein Kurt Darren on music and all the money he’s making from it

Kaptein Kurt Darren on music and all the money he’s making from it

Laat die dansvloer brand! The Money Show’s Bruce Whitfield interviews Afrikaans musician Kurt Darren.

ConCourt rules dagga legal for private use, but what is private?

ConCourt rules dagga legal for private use, but what is private?

Associate Professor of Law at Wits University James Grant says the ConCourt did not define what private use was.

[WATCH] Dad stops baby from crying, Emmy acceptance speech turns into proposal

[WATCH] Dad stops baby from crying, Emmy acceptance speech turns into proposal

Khabazela shares some of the most popular tweets, posts, and videos on 'What's gone viral'.