What could a coalition mean for the future of Gauteng, South Africa?
The Political Party Co-operation and Building and Sustaining of Coalitions initiative's project coordinator and chief researcher Mike Law says while the African National Congress (ANC) will most likely secure a majority in the national vote, it runs the risk of losing its majority in Gauteng.
Law says the ruling party is vulnerable in a few areas and if there is going to be a coalition that emerges from the results, it will be in the country's most populated and resourceful province.
He says the Democratic Alliance (DA) is also at risk of being forced into a coalition in the Western Cape.
The DA are concerned about holding onto power in the Western Cape; I think the problem there is that the DA are suffering several threats from smaller parties. We don't know how long GOOD is going to do. There has been some good results in bi-elections for the SADP and other unknown constitutes that are potentially eating into the DA's majority there.Mike Law, Chief researcher - Political Party Co-operation and Building and Sustaining of Coalitions initiative
Other than that we struggle to see where else there will be a coalition but this election has proved to be one of the most difficult to predict in South Africa's democratic history.Mike Law, Chief researcher - Political Party Cooperation and Building and Sustaining of Coalitions
He says whatever deal is available for the three major parties - ANC, DA and Economic Freedom Fighters - they will take the one that strengthens their position the most.
Law says in some instances a coalition may be of concern as the electorate may be against the decision.
Is this deal they are going to make going to please the electorate or is the electorate going to think of it as somewhat of a betrayal?Mike Law, Chief researcher - Political Party Co-operation and Building and Sustaining of Coalitions
I am not saying this will be the case but if you take the hypothetical of a DA and EFF coalition, there is no guarantee that the electorate of those parties will accept that decision and we could see a potential backlash from votes in future elections as we have seen all over the world where coalitions go wrong.Mike Law, Chief researcher - Political Party Co-operation and Building and Sustaining of Coalitions
Click on the link below to hear the full conversation...
The sector is at a tipping point. Arabile Gumede interviews Philippa Rodseth from industry body, the Manufacturing Circle.Read More
According EWN reporter Nthakoana Ngatane, Mokoena says the former MEC came up with the idea of prepayment.Read More
Corruption Watch has released its 2020 report on corruption trends. Arabile Gumede interviews CW's Kavisha Pillay.Read More
Professor Wiseman Nkuhlu reflects on his new book titled Enabler or Victim: KPMG SA and State Capture.Read More
The "new" SAA needs more than R10 billion to take off. Arabile Gumede interviews Intellidex’s Peter Attard Montalto.Read More
News24 journalist Kyle Cowan gives more insight on what the ruling will mean for the attempt to prove that money was laundered.Read More
Human Rights Watch South African director Dewa Mavhinga reflects on the planned march to the Nigerian Embassy against crime.Read More
The number of national recoveries so far is 590,071, which translates to a recovery rate of 89.2%. Gauteng has 193,153 recoveries.Read More
Daily Maverick journalist Ray Mahlaka and Sacca president Zazi Nsibanyoni-Mugambi reflect on government's commitment.Read More
Party leader Herman Mashaba says it is time for citizens to elect people who will serve them and not their political needs.Read More