2019 South African general election: Analysis and News

'It's a clear message to the ANC that under Ramaphosa its vote has increased'

As election counting continues and with over 70% of the votes counted, the African National Congress (ANC) takes the lead nationally, followed by the Democratic Alliance (DA) and Economic Freedom Fighters (EFF).

The Freedom Front Plus and Patricia de Lille's GOOD Party are making inroads and steadily increasing their support.

Read: Are the results matching up to the 2019 polls?

To dissect the results, 702's Bongani Bingwa speaks to University of Johannesburg (UJ) professor of political studies Steven Friedman.

I think that the most reliable projections are by the Council for Scientific and Industrial Research (CSIR) and what they are telling us is that we are looking at an ANC vote of around 57% or 58%, the DA at approximately 20% and EFF at approximately about 10.5%.

Professor Steven Friedman, Political Studies - UJ

Then of course, in the provinces - projecting that the ANC will get another majority in KwaZulu-Natal, however, Gauteng is too close to call.

Professor Steven Friedman, Political Studies - UJ

There are still outstanding township results to be counted but Friedman believes CSRI 's predictions will hold.

He says there is a developing media story citing this result as a huge set back for the ANC.

The bottom line for the ANC is that under Jacob Zuma in the municipal elections in 2016, the ANC was down to 54%, and under Ramaphosa they are up to 57%, 58% - which is not as good as they managed in 2014. But it does send a clear message to ANC delegates that under Ramaphosa they can increase their vote while under Zuma their vote declined. So Ramaphosa has the mandate to clean up.

Professor Steven Friedman, Political Studies - UJ

He says even though there is dissatisfaction with the ANC, there is no real alternative, and this election has shown this again.

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