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Podcasts
The Money Show with Bruce Whitfield
The two men that have correctly predicted most US elections
The two men that have correctly predicted most US elections
Will Donald Trump win again, the two men that correctly predicted it in 2016 weigh in on 2020
Allan Lichtman and Helmut Norpoth have devised two very different models that have been very accurate so far. This year though their models do not predict the same outcome.
One of their models will prove to be the one to predict even the most unpredictable election, a race between two of the oldest candidates in a country ravaged by a pandemic and from parties that are now polar opposites.
Being able to predict something as complex as this will see many wanting to try apply the principles to make better political, business, investment and even personal choices about many other complex subjects.
Here is what their models predict and how they get there.
Image credit: 123rf.com
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More episodes from Business Unusual
Roll up, roll up get your non fungible tokens here
3 March 2021 7:24 PM
There are no shortages of bubbles at the moment, this is just the next one, but once it pops (again) there are some really good reasons for keeping it around.
Audio credit : CNBC Television
Image credit: Fran Hogan / Unsplash
Facebook and Australia, what it means for the rest of us
24 February 2021 7:26 PM
Will the deal with Australia help publishers around the world?
It was a long time coming but the Great Barrier Beef (as MSNBC described it) came to a head last week when Facebook blocked news content and pages from posting on their platform in Australia.
A new law which would compel platforms like Google and Facebook to compensate news publishers for content that was displayed on their sites.
Google has agreed to deals of about $1 billion while Facebook held out until 23 February 2021. The Australian Government and Facebook agreed that the negotiations would not force a deal on Facebook.
Facebook have set out their position in a post which suggests that they would be willing to use a model to invest/compensate publishers in Australia and elsewhere offering to pay about a $1 billion to publishers in the next three years.
Audio credit: ABC Australia
Image credit: © Yael Weiss/123fr.com
The best way to predict the future is to understand the past
17 February 2021 7:24 PM
How Brewster Kahle set about storing the contents of the web for future generations.
Image credit: Internet Archive
Audio credit: AOL
The story of the web can be told by the highs and lows of Reddit
10 February 2021 7:25 PM
The largest social network you did not know about has a remarkable story
In the news thanks to Wall Street bets, but as one of the top 20 websites in the world its history makes for a fascinating timeline of the web.
Image credit: reddit.com
Sustainable finance - what it is and what it means for the planet and your investments
3 February 2021 7:23 PM
It may sound obvious but for the longest times sustainability was not a major factor when deciding to invest
In any other week talking about sustainable finance as a novel idea would seem odd, but given the run on companies like GameStop might remind you that little will get in the way of making a quick buck even with ideals about fighting back against hedge funds that profit when businesses fail.
Would you invest in a blank cheque company?
27 January 2021 7:24 PM
This is a story about special purpose acquisition companies (Spacs) and online advertising in an age when everyone is a publisher.
A SPAC offers investors the chance to invest money in a shelf company which will acquire a suitable private company that would benefit from listing. Because the SPAC, also called a blank cheque company, has no product or business allows the process to allow it to list much easier.
Investors typically buy shares at a set rate with an option to buy more once an acquisition target has been found provided the deal is concluded in about two years. If nothing happens investors get their money back but if they find a unicorn the share price might jump giving the investor a good return, the operator an even better return (often as much as 20% of the equity) and the acquired company gets the money from the SPAC and gets to be be publicly traded.
Image credit: © maximusnd/123rf.com
The money to be made from being mindful
20 January 2021 7:24 PM
Meditation is a 2500 year old practice that has real benefits for managing stress during a pandemic. The companies that are creating products to make it easier are likely to thrive even during this time of adversity.
Image credit: David Brooke Martin - Unspalsh
A Social Reckoning
13 January 2021 7:23 PM
How to balance free speech with constructive engagement and manage it all as a business.
Read the article
Image: © Peter KováÄ? /123rf.com
Business Unusual
16 December 2020 7:22 PM
Guest: Toby Shapshak | Publisher at Stuff magazine
See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
What 2021 may hold, a look at the trends that will same the new normal
9 December 2020 7:25 PM
A look at some of the shift predicted by TrendWatching that may take hold as a result of the impact of Covid-19 and the growing impact of climate change.
Image credit: "Day 234 let me look into my crystal ball" by terri_bateman is marked with CC0 1.0
See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Highlights